Algoma Steel Group Stock Analysis

ASTL Stock  USD 4.61  0.29  6.71%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Algoma Steel Group extending back to March 04, 2021. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Algoma Steel stands at 4.61, as last reported on the 8th of February, with the highest price reaching 4.70 and the lowest price hitting 4.39 during the day.
IPO Date
20th of October 2021
200 Day MA
5.5666
50 Day MA
4.1364
Beta
1.563
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Algoma Steel Group holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.072. At this time, Algoma Steel's Total Debt To Capitalization is quite stable compared to the past year. Debt Equity Ratio is expected to rise to 0.42 this year, although the value of Net Debt will most likely fall to about 305.7 M. Algoma Steel's financial risk is the risk to Algoma Steel stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Algoma Steel's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Algoma Steel's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Algoma Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Algoma Steel's stakeholders.
For many companies, including Algoma Steel, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Algoma Steel Group, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Algoma Steel's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
0.7563
Enterprise Value Ebitda
101.4988
Price Sales
0.2185
Shares Float
74.9 M
Dividend Share
0.427
At this time, Algoma Steel's Total Stockholder Equity is quite stable compared to the past year. Stock Based Compensation is expected to rise to about 29.6 M this year, although the value of Liabilities And Stockholders Equity will most likely fall to about 2.5 B. . At this time, Algoma Steel's Price Book Value Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price To Book Ratio is expected to rise to 0.96 this year, although the value of Price Earnings Ratio is projected to rise to (7.48).
Algoma Steel Group is undervalued with Real Value of 8.21 and Target Price of 20.0. The main objective of Algoma Steel stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Algoma Steel Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Algoma Steel's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Algoma Steel stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Algoma Steel Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in poverty.

Algoma Stock Analysis Notes

About 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.76. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Algoma Steel Group recorded a loss per share of 1.03. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of May 2025. Algoma Steel Group Inc. produces and sells steel products primarily in North America. Algoma Steel Group Inc. was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Sault Ste. Algoma Steel operates under Steel classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2734 people. For more info on Algoma Steel Group please contact Michael Garcia at 705 945 2351 or go to https://algoma.com.

Algoma Steel Quarterly Total Revenue

523.9 Million

Algoma Steel Group Investment Alerts

Algoma Steel Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Algoma Steel Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (222.67 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (405.07 M).
Algoma Steel Group currently holds about 1.14 B in cash with (51.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.79, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Advanced Equity Analysis - Stock Traders Daily

Algoma Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Algoma Steel's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2023-11-02
2023-09-300.310.24-0.0722 
2023-08-11
2023-06-300.720.63-0.0912 
2022-11-07
2022-09-300.460.36-0.121 
View All Earnings Estimates

Algoma Steel Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Algoma Steel's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Algoma Steel's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Algoma Steel's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Algoma Steel's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Algoma Steel Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Algoma Steel stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Iron Idea
Iron
Steel and Iron production

Algoma Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Intact Investment Management, Inc.2025-06-30
M
Aegis Financial Corporation2025-06-30
1.8 M
Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd2025-06-30
1.6 M
Towle & Co2025-06-30
1.5 M
Solas Capital Management Llc2025-06-30
1.4 M
Td Asset Management Inc2025-06-30
1.4 M
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2025-06-30
1.1 M
Newgen Asset Management Ltd2025-06-30
1.1 M
Tcw Group Inc2025-06-30
1.1 M
Maple Rock Capital Partners, Inc.2025-06-30
8.4 M
Mmcap International Inc. Spc2025-06-30
7.2 M
Note, although Algoma Steel's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Algoma Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 412.09 M.

Algoma Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.35) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.27) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.27.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.06)(0.06)
Return On Capital Employed(0.10)(0.09)
Return On Assets(0.06)(0.06)
Return On Equity(0.17)(0.16)

Management Efficiency

Algoma Steel Group has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0352) % which means that it has lost $0.0352 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.104) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Algoma Steel's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Algoma Steel manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is expected to rise to -0.06 this year. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to -0.09 this year. At this time, Algoma Steel's Net Tangible Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Other Assets is expected to rise to about 7.5 M this year, although the value of Non Current Assets Total will most likely fall to about 1.2 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 12.52  13.15 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 12.52  13.14 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(11.94)(11.34)
Price Book Value Ratio 0.91  0.96 
Enterprise Value Multiple(11.94)(11.34)
Price Fair Value 0.91  0.96 
Enterprise Value2.2 B3.2 B
Understanding the operational decisions made by Algoma Steel management offers insights into its financial robustness. This evaluation is crucial for assessing the stock's investment potential.
Dividend Yield
0.1089
Operating Margin
(0.27)
Profit Margin
(0.35)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0342
Beta
1.563

Technical Drivers

As of the 8th of February, Algoma Steel shows the mean deviation of 3.34, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0512. Algoma Steel Group technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Algoma Steel Group variance, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and skewness to decide if Algoma Steel Group is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 4.61 per share. Given that Algoma Steel has jensen alpha of 0.0231, we suggest you to validate Algoma Steel Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Algoma Steel Group Price Movement Analysis

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Algoma Steel Outstanding Bonds

Algoma Steel issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Algoma Steel Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Algoma bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Algoma Steel Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Algoma Steel Predictive Daily Indicators

Algoma Steel intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Algoma Steel stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Algoma Steel Forecast Models

Algoma Steel's time-series forecasting models are one of many Algoma Steel's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Algoma Steel's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Algoma Steel Bond Ratings

Algoma Steel Group financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Algoma Steel have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Algoma Steel's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
5
HealthyView
Beneish M Score
(2.99)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

Algoma Steel Group Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as Algoma Steel, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
Algoma Steel Group currently holds 673.2 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.07, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Algoma Steel Group has a current ratio of 2.05, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Algoma Steel's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

Algoma Steel Total Assets Over Time

Algoma Steel Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Algoma Steel uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Algoma Steel Debt Ratio

    
  35.0   
It seems about 65% of Algoma Steel's assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Algoma Steel's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Algoma Steel, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Algoma Steel Corporate Bonds Issued

Algoma Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

490.64 Million

At this time, Algoma Steel's Short and Long Term Debt Total is quite stable compared to the past year.

About Algoma Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Algoma Steel prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Algoma shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Algoma Steel. By using and applying Algoma Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Algoma entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.10)(0.10)
Operating Profit Margin(0.11)(0.10)
Net Loss(0.08)(0.08)
Gross Profit Margin(0.04)(0.04)

Current Algoma Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Algoma analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Algoma analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
20.0Buy4Odds
Algoma Steel Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Algoma analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Algoma stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Algoma Steel Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Algoma conference calls.
Algoma Analyst Advice Details

Algoma Stock Analysis Indicators

Algoma Steel Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Algoma Steel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Algoma Steel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Algoma Steel stock analysis, traders can identify Algoma Steel position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow247.4 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding108.5 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.5 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-362.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.93
Property Plant And Equipment Net1.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments266.9 M
Cash266.9 M
Accounts Payable146.1 M
Net Debt406.3 M
50 Day M A4.1364
Total Current Liabilities490.3 M
Other Operating Expenses2.7 B
Non Current Assets Total1.7 B
Forward Price Earnings7.5586
Non Currrent Assets Other16.6 M
Stock Based Compensation24.5 M
When determining whether Algoma Steel Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Algoma Steel's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Algoma Steel's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Algoma Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Algoma Steel Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in poverty.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Algoma Steel. If investors know Algoma will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Algoma Steel assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.93)
Dividend Share
0.427
Earnings Share
(1.03)
Revenue Per Share
20.378
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.13)
The market value of Algoma Steel Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Algoma that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Algoma Steel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Algoma Steel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Algoma Steel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Algoma Steel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Algoma Steel's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Algoma Steel represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Algoma Steel's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.